Coming Soon

Auto-Stabilized Prediction Markets with Bounded-Risk LMSR

What We're Building

  • • Fully non-custodial prediction markets with bounded LP risk
  • • Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR) with auto-stabilization
  • • Adaptive liquidity scaling based on √V model
  • • Dynamic certainty-based fees protecting liquidity providers
  • • Transparent treasury accounting with automated settlement
  • • Binary and multi-outcome markets with continuous pricing

Earn as a Liquidity Provider

Provide liquidity with mathematically bounded risk and earn yield proportional to market activity.

Bounded Risk - Max 68.2% Loss

Your maximum theoretical loss is capped at 0.682 × L for binary markets

Base Trading Fees - 30-50%

Earn 30-50% of the 1% base trading fee from all trades

Certainty Fees - 100% to LPs

All certainty fees (0.25% to 3%) go directly to liquidity providers

Residual Loser Funds

Keep remaining treasury funds when crowd predictions are wrong

Auto-Stabilization System

1. Volume-Based Scaling

Liquidity depth L(V) = k × √V automatically adjusts to market activity

2. Dynamic Fee Protection

Certainty fees rise from 0.25% to 3% as prices approach 0.95-0.99

3. Break-Even Economics

LPs break even around 0.8-1M volume, earn 20-60% ROI on high-volume markets

Market Performance Examples

VolumeLiquidityMax LP LossFee IncomeLP Net
100k1,265862300-562
1M4,0002,7283,000+272
5M8,9446,09915,000+8,901
10M12,6498,62330,000+21,377

Key Advantages

Non-Custodial Design

Fully decentralized with user-controlled funds and transparent accounting

Mathematically Fair

LMSR ensures continuous pricing and bounded loss for all participants

Capital Efficient

√V scaling matches liquidity to demand, maximizing capital utilization

Self-Balancing

System automatically adjusts to maintain fair odds and LP profitability